The stylistics of 2021 differ noticeably from 2020: people look back at the rules less and less

As time goes on, I am more and more surprised that there are still people convinced that the state benefits citizens by creating norms, thereby increasing the predictability of life. But if there is anything one can be sure of, it is that the state constantly violates its own norms, and from time to time changes them to legalize these violations. The game can also be played in reverse: if people massively and consciously violate a norm, it will eventually be softened or abolished—but until then, it will ruin the lives of a vast number of people, and when the norm changes, they won’t even bother to offer a fleeting apology.

You are constantly constrained by absurd, impossible norms handed down from above, and you either tolerate it or fight it (the latter is called “engaging in politics”). If you fight, the norms constrain you even further. It doesn’t matter whether you are a cog in the state machine or a completely private individual: there will be absurd norms for everyone. Simply depending on your weight in the class hierarchy, you will have to exert different efforts to evade the execution of some inconvenient norm with impunity or to get it abolished.

Today, the most convenient way for the state to introduce arbitrary restrictions is, of course, covid. Any business can be closed, any offline activity banned, arbitrary expenses can be imposed on people, or passport control, detention centers, and courts can even be merged into one. Millions bear the costs of covid itself; billions bear the costs of covid-related bans. But the suffering of billions in no way helps to save millions; they simply suffer along for the ride.

You have read three paragraphs of whining, which means that the situation with Navalny has left me stunned. I need to at least outline an answer to the question “what to do.” Navalny claims that taking to the streets works best. And how does it work? You go out. You get beaten. You go out. You are fined. You go out. You are imprisoned. Everyone around discusses the failure of the protest. The country becomes a pariah, the economy crashes, and those who are beaten, fined, and imprisoned become poor even faster. This goes on for about twenty years, then a miracle happens, and the regime becomes loose enough to collapse. By this time, only the most inert and incompetent remain in the country, while the clever ones have long since settled abroad.

Of course, any oppositionist would prefer everything to be resolved more quickly. A peaceful rally suddenly turns unpeaceful, the National Guard is driven from the squares, the order to bring in tanks is sabotaged, and suddenly the Prime Minister announces that the President has passed away suddenly and invites the opposition to jointly form a government of national reconciliation. But for now, it is not customary to call for such a thing aloud: the level of bitterness is insufficient. For us, a refusal to authorize a rally is still considered a valid reason to cancel it.

If you count on changing the situation in the country through rallies, at least expand the circle of protesters. Is the person already a regular? Leave them alone, look for a newcomer. It is pleasant to see familiar faces in the crowd, but it is far more useful to see new ones. If authorization was denied due to covid, that is a reason to rally not only for that but also for the abolition of covid restrictions. But it is better, of course, to fundamentally not notify the authorities of the intention to take to the streets. Let them monitor social networks instead of hoping that everything will be told to them voluntarily.

And, of course, if you intend to become regulars at protest actions, you will have to get rid of real estate, cars, and bank accounts—everything that can be seized for refusing to pay a fine. Or do you intend to pay the fines? Really? Do you want to overthrow the regime or feed it? In a while, they will start trying to fire protesters on a mass scale. This is a reason to get ahead of the game by asking employers to fire you and hire you in the same position under the table.

You can do none of this, of course, and just quietly grumble and keep a low profile. Then the inertial scenario described in the paragraph about twenty years will work.

I make a poor politician; I have never known how to motivate people to perform heroic deeds…

When the legal is illegal, it’s better to look to the shadows

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