Following protests, the Georgian parliamentary majority withdrew the foreign agents bill that had been passed in its first reading. Is this like a victory? Well, not exactly. Over these few days, many people were beaten, arrested, and their property was damaged. We can talk about a tactical victory after all the detainees are released and all the victims are paid compensation. But generally, of course, it would be great to achieve the dissolution of parliament and new elections—what trust can there be in the creeps who allowed such bullshit to happen?
In Montenegro, the seizure of assets (so-called nationalization) of businessmen who acquired pieces of property under the previous administration is in full swing. Moreover, this is being done by a technical prime minister whose government has already been issued a vote of no confidence. This has already led to one city being almost completely cut off from the rest of the country, and if the government cannot solve the problem before the start of the tourist season, I very much hope that this will finally paralyze the government, the prime minister will be exiled back to Ulcinj, or wherever he crawled out from, and they won’t be able to form a new government at all.
Everything has long been clear in the RF and Belarus: the opposition there is either in prison, has fled abroad, or has kept its mouth shut and is waiting to be imprisoned or drafted into the army, which is nearly the same thing.
It’s the same in Ukraine, except you can’t even leave the country due to martial law—on the other hand, the government has the full support of the international community.
I won’t speak for the USA and the rest of the world, since I’m not particularly interested in the details, but there is also a feeling there that politics is becoming radicalized, and it is becoming increasingly difficult for people to reach compromises within the state as part of the political process.
This can lead to various consequences.
In states with developed federalism, people can cluster by interests, reducing the degree of political confrontation within the federal subjects and increasing it between them. In this case, central decisions will be increasingly sabotaged. This is conditionally the US scenario.
In unitary states or fictitious federations like the RF, regimes will either gravitate toward dictatorship (the Belarusian scenario) or lose the ability to make any decisions at all—since any decision in favor of one side of a political confrontation will lead to massive and increasingly radical protests from the opposing side. This is conditionally the Georgian or Israeli scenario.
As a result of the processes described, we will get the following picture.
In the world, on one hand, there will be an increase in the number of authoritarian dictatorships, as well as democratic political entities with the dictatorship of the overwhelming majority. On the other hand, there will be an increase in the number of anocracies, where state power is paralyzed, and real decisions are made outside the legal political process.
And besides all this splendor, there will be a huge number of expats who have no political rights but live in countries whose politics suit them even slightly more than the countries they migrated from, and who play an important role in the economy of the countries where they live, and therefore their silent demand of “just don’t meddle in our affairs” will also have to be taken into account.
I, of course, urge all my readers to contribute to increasing the number of the latter in every way. Political power is evil. To become an expat—that is, to voluntarily renounce political power over others in favor of self-governance—is the most libertarian path in the current situation.
